Quarterly FPD Supply/Demand and Capital Spending Report

TFT LCD 패널 수요/공급 분석, 패널 생산 업체별 지출 계획 및 재정 현황 보고

 

 목차

1. Executive Summary
2. Methodology
3. Fab Activity
4. TFT LCD Supply Analysis
5. TFT LCD Supply/Demand Analysis
6. Fab Utilization
7. TFT LCD Equipment Spending Section
8. TFT LCD Capital Expenditures and Financing
9. Quarterly Investors Conference and Financial Summaries
10. Appendix

Detailed Outline

1. Executive Summary
   • Executive Summary
     
2. Methodology
   • Methodology
   • Realistic Capacity Calculation
   • Ramp Assumptions
   • Glass Input Ramp Assumptions
   • Yield Assumptions
   • Example of Cumulative Yield Curves
   • Yield Assumptions
   • Panelization Assumptions
   • Panelization
   • Small/Medium Panelization
   • Fab Generation Definitions
     
3. Fab Activity
   • Forecasting Fab Activity
   • Investment Probability Definitions
   • Quarterly TFT Fab Activity
   • New Substrates / Month
   • Quarterly TFT Capacity Comparison
   • Investment Forecast: Q2’07 Outlook
   • TFT Array Fab Activity
   • TFT Changes vs. Previous Qtr
   • LPL and Matsushita
   • LPL
   • Epson
   • Sharp
   • Innolux
   • Long-Term TFT Input Capacity Growth
   • TFT Watch List, Install - Q4’09
   • New Substrates and Upside Potential
   • Color Filter Fab Activity
   • CF Changes vs. Previous Qtr
   • Long-Term CF Input Capacity
   • Module Lines (China and EU)
   • Max. Monthly PDP Glass Input Capacity
   • PDP Fab Changes
   • PDP Fab Activity
   • PDP Equipment Forecast
   • Rumored Low Probability Investments
   • Long-Term PDP Input Capacity Growth
   • Panelization
   • PDP Capacity Growth
   • Yielded 42” Equivalents By Supplier
   • OLED Fab Activity
   • AMOLED Fab Activity
   • PMOLED Fab Activity
   • AMOLED Supply Demand
   • PMOLED Supply Demand
     
4. TFT LCD Supply Analysis
   
   A. Input Capacity Substrates per month and Area
   • Comments on Glass Input
   • TFT Substrate Input Capacity by Fab
   • TFT Area Input Capacity by Fab
   • TFT LCD Capacity and Growth
   • TFT Area Input Capacity by Maker
   • TFT Area Input Capacity Share by Maker
   • TFT Area Input Capacity by Maker (annual)
   • TFT Area Input Capacity Share by Maker
   • TFT LCD Capacity by Region (area)
   • TFT LCD Capacity by Region (%)
   • TFT LCD Capacity by Glass Size (Ksheets)
   • TFT LCD Capacity by Glass Size (m2)
   • TFT LCD Capacity by Glass Size (m2 %)
   • TFT LCD Capacity by Technology
   • LTPS Growth in Area (m2)
   • Quarterly Input Capacity by Company (area)
   • Quarterly Input Capacity by Company (area)
   • Quarterly Forecasted Input Capacity (area)
   
   B. Input Capacity Converted to Realistic Capacity Units
   • Note on Realistic Capacity
   • Large-Area Realistic Capacity Units
   • 17-19" vs. Large-Area Realistic Capacity
   • Incremental Large-Area Realistic Capacity
   • Large-Area RC by Fab Generation
   • Realistic Capacity by Fab Generation
   • Realistic Capacity by Fab Generation (%)
   • Large-Area Realistic Capacity by Region
   • Large-Area RC by Region (%)
     
5. TFT LCD Supply/Demand Analysis
   • Supply/Demand Background
   • Quarterly Sup/Dem Model Enhancements
   • Supply/Demand Background
   • Capacity Allocations for Large-area (m2)
   • Large-Area Capacity, Glut, Price
   • Unrestricted Large-Area Sup/Dem
   • Component Shortages
   • Restricted Large-Area Sup/Dem
   • Large-Area Sup/Dem Scenarios
   • Monitor, TV, Note Demand Summary
   • Area Demand vs. Raw Capacity
   • Small/Medium Sup/Dem
   • Substrate Example
   • Small/Medium Sup/Dem
   • Capacity Allocation for Small/Med (m2)
   • Small/Med Sup/Dem with 1st Tier Only
   • Small/Med Sup/Dem with All Suppliers
   • Comments from the Supply Chain
     
6. Fab Utilization
   • Fab Utilization Comments
   • Utilization by Line (substrate basis)
   • Utilization by Manufacturer (m2 basis)
   • Utilization by Glass Size (m2 basis)
   • Utilization by Region (m2 basis)
   • Fab Utilization Summary
     
7. TFT LCD Equipment Spending Section
   
   A: Methodology
   • Equipment Forecast Methodology
   • 2006 Equipment Investment Timing
   • 2007 Equipment Investment Timing
   • 2008 Equipment Investment Timing
   • TFT Process Definitions
   • Example Frequency Parameters
   • Factory Operation Assumptions
   • Line Balancing and Other Parameters
   • Other, Cell, Module and CF Spending
   
   B: Forecast
   • Quarterly Forecast Comments
   • Quarterly TFT LCD Equipment Forecast
   • Equipment Forecast Risk Factors
   • Forecast and Upside Potential
   • Quarterly Historical and Forecasted TFT Equip Spending
   • 3 Year Rolling TFT LCD Equipment
   • 1999 - 2010 Spending by Process ($M)
   • Q4’06 - Q4’09 Spending by Process ($M)
   • 1999 - 2010 Major Array Tools Revenues
   • 1999 - 2010 Major Array Tools (Units)
   • 1999 - 2010 Major Array Tools (ASPs)
   • 1999 - 2010 Array Tools (%Revenue/ Total)
   • Investment by Region
   • Equipment Spending by Technology
   • LTPS Specific Spending
   • Spending by Generation
   • Spending by Supplier
   • 1999 - 2010 Spending by Supplier ($M)
   • 1999 - 2010 Spending by Supplier (%)
     
8. TFT LCD Capital Expenditures and Financing
   • Quarterly CRT Summary
   • Quarterly CRT Summary CDT and Brand Shipments
   • Quarterly Summary Regional Highlights and Forecasts
     
9. Quarterly Investors Conference and Financial Summarie
   • Comment
   • Quarterly Summary
   • TFT LCD Suppliers Lost 5% in 2006
   • AUO Quarterly Investors Conference
   • AUO Sales and Profit
   • CMO Quarterly Investors Conference
   • CMO Financial Results
   • CPT Financial Results
   • Comments about CPT
   • HannStar Conference Call
   • HannStar Financial Results
   • LGE Conference Call
   • LGE Financial Results
   • LPL Conference Call
   • LPL Financial Results
   • Samsung Quarterly Conference Call
   • Samsung Financial Results
   • Samsung SDI Conference Call
   • SDI Conference Call
   • SDI Financial Results
     
10. Appendix
    • Modeled TFT LCD Spending by Size
    • Modeled TFT LCD Spending by GSize
    • News: Earthquake Affects TMD Fabs